By Dr Shahid Qureshi: –
Popularity and support of Turkish president Erdogan increased after the launching of ‘operation peace spring’ against US backed and armed terrorist group YPG/PKK/SDF in Syria, according to a survey by Metropoll. The fact that US and it allies quickly ran to ‘save the asset’ i.e. YPG was unprecedented and threats by some EU members like Germany to put an arms embargo against Turkey was more of a wake-up call for Turks? The fact that US is stealing Syrian oil has disclosed the real motive behind US invasion of Syria.
These countries opposing Turkish anti-terror operation in Syria are the one who bombed, killed millions and illegally invaded Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq and Libya were taking moral high ground by sanctioning a country victim of their state terrorism and flooded with 4 million refugees like Pakistan in 1979 soviet invasion and 2001 US, NATO invasion of Afghanistan.
It is not a mere coincidence but a well thought through design against Pakistan and Turkey. Both countries are attacked economically, and its neighbors had largest movement of Muslim population in the world. A bad economy will make a popular government unpopular. US president Trump has threatened its ally Turkey of economic attacks with currency and tariffs. US got upset when Turkey withdrew its US$ 25 billion gold from US treasury.
When President Erdogan of Turkey asked his people to have 2 – 3 kids it is because ‘human capital (population) is a strength of the nation’.
United States agency CIA (Central Intelligence Agency) have done a deep analysis and research about population growth in Muslim World especially Pakistan, Turkey and middle east.
That is why “Ray S. Cline former Deputy Director of Intelligence at CIA said in a book, “The Power of the Nations in the 1990s’, ‘that a large territory accompanied by a large population, almost automatically confers the status of power on a nation.’ But political analysis, he added, ‘generally gives little more importance to people than to territory, since populous countries of an adequate size can exploit economic resources, mobilize armies, and bring their influence on others”.
According to a secret intelligence assessment prepared by the CIA in February 1984: “Middle East – South Asia: ‘Population Problems and Political Stability’, worried about age structures in societies with high fertility. Noting that as many as one-third of regional population is in the ‘political volatile 15 to 24 age group, ‘the document which was partially declassified in 1986, warned that young people are ‘ready recruits for opposition causes’, including Islamic nationalism, ‘which currently offers the principal ideological haven for Muslim youth”.
According to political experts the growth in population is a distinct advantage in the modern world. Geoffrey McNicoll of the population council explained in a November 1985 conference on global population trends at Stanford University – California that, “population weight conveys power or voice in world affairs”.
I think population and human resource development is a very important and sensitive matter and should be discussed by experts.
Support for President Tayyip Erdoğan’s approval rating rose by 3.7 percentage points in October to 48%, the survey showed, recording its highest level since shortly after the presidential elections of June 2018, which were held before last year’s currency crisis.
Turkey launched Operation Peace Spring, the third in a series of cross-border anti-terror operations in northern Syria targeting terrorists affiliated with Daesh and the PKK’s Syrian offshoot the People’s Protection Units (YPG), on 9 Oct 2019.
The operation, conducted in line with the country’s right to self-defense borne out of international law and U.N. Security Council resolutions, aims to establish a terror-free safe zone for Syrians return in the area east of the Euphrates River controlled by the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), which is dominated by YPG terrorists.
The PKK – listed as a terrorist organization by Turkey, the U.S. and the European Union – has waged a terror campaign against Turkey for more than 30 years, resulting in the deaths of nearly 40,000 people, including women, children and infants.
Turkey has long decried the threat from terrorists east of the Euphrates in northern Syria, pledging military action to prevent the formation of a “terrorist corridor” there.
Since 2016, Turkey’s Euphrates Shield and Olive Branch operations in northwestern Syria have liberated the region from YPG/PKK and Daesh terrorists, making it possible for nearly 400,000 Syrians who fled the violence to return home.
Turkey later reached separate agreements with Washington and Moscow and stopped its operation after YPG terrorists withdrew from a border strip inside Syria.
While many Western countries were closing their doors or offering horrible conditions, Turkey has adopted an open-door policy by providing humanitarian services to meet the basic needs of refugees
Ankara has often criticized the international community for not providing sufficient humanitarian aid for the refugees in Turkey and not taking in more refugees. Turkey has spent nearly $40 billion so far, while it has only received about 6 billion euros ($6.6 billion) of support from the international community.
Turkey also looks to ensure the safe and voluntary return of refugees to parts of Syria liberated from terrorist groups. In May, Interior Minister Süleyman Soylu said that the number of Syrians that returned home had reached nearly 330,000 since Turkey successfully completed counter terrorism operations to liberate northern Syrian towns from the control of the Daesh and PKK-linked terrorists. It is expected that this number may reach millions following the successful implementation of Turkey’s safe zone plan in northern Syria.
Four of the five political parties in the Turkish Parliament have strongly supported Turkey’s operation against the YPG. Only the pro-PKK Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP) opposed it.
Turkish Foreign minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu have said something like: “we will continue operation against terrorist and not afraid of sanctions”.
(Dr Shahid Qureshi is senior analyst with BBC and chief editor of The London Post. He writes on security, terrorism and foreign policy. He also appears as analyst on Al-Jazeera, Press TV, MBC, Kazak TV (Kazakhstan), LBC Radio London. He was also international Presidential election observer for Kazakhstan, 2019, 2016 and 2015, Azerbaijan 2018 and Pakistan 2002. He has written a famous book “War on Terror and Siege of Pakistan” published in 2009. He wrote his MA thesis on ‘Political Thought of Imam Khomeini’ and visited Tehran University. He is PhD in ‘Political Psychology’ also studied Law at a British University. He also speaks at Cambridge University and visiting professor in Hebe University in China.)
Views expressed are not of The London Post