By Dr Shahid Qureshi:
Recent twin Pizza delivery drone attacks at the Indian Air Force Station has all the hallmarks of a false flag operation that reveals the tensions among the Indian armed forces. Especially corruption in the procurement of the military equipment including Rafael fighter Jets from France. Current global tensions are no doubt between former colonials and their former victims be it China as former colony of Japan or India of Europeans from Britain, France and Portugal. It seems some local and external forces pushing India to start a war with Pakistan and China.
US, Israel and France knows full well that Indian military capability and risk assessed its fighting equipment as ‘vintage’ with 10 days ammunition.
The New York Times wrote, “India’s armed forces are in alarming shape. If intense warfare broke out tomorrow, India could supply its troops with only 10 days of ammunition, according to government estimates. And 68% percent of the army’s equipment is so old, it is officially considered “vintage.”
Rafael Jet deal corruption
BBC reported that: “India’s opposition parties are demanding the resignation of Prime Minister Narendra Modi over allegations of corruption in a multi-billion-dollar fighter jet deal.
Rahul Gandhi, the leader of the main opposition Congress party, has alleged that Mr Modi “favoured” an Indian company that is part of the French deal.
As part of the 2016 Rafale deal, Dassault agreed to invest 50% of the estimated $8.7bn (£6.6bn) contract in India to manufacture some components of the jet with billionaire Anil Ambani’s Reliance Defence.
Experts who analysed the Indian Drone Drama in Jamu thinks:
“None of the outfits India is blaming for drone attack at Jammu Air Force Station has claimed responsibility for the same. The outfits India is holding responsible for carrying out Jammu Air Force Station attack have no capability and expertise to use drones. Most of the tweets regarding Jammu IAF Base attack have been posted by RAW sponsored individuals.
The pictures of drone released by India allegedly used in Jammu Air Force Station attack are fake. If Jammu Air Force Station attack had been carried out by anti-India forces, they would have targeted the hangar rather than a roof of a building. India is creating a smokescreen to hide the internal dimension of Jammu drone attack by falsely blaming Pakistan.
Modi is levelling allegations against Pakistan to hide its failures at the domestic and global fronts. Modi led Indian govt is making Pakistan a scapegoat to divert attention from its internal problems. Modi is creating a threat perception by using the bogey of alleged drone attacks to increase India’s defence budget. Modi is trying to distract attention by using alleged drone attack after Pakistan found concrete evidence of India’s involvement in Lahore blast.
RSS-backed Indian govt is maligning Lashkar-e-Toiba and Jaish-e-Mohammad by falsely dragging them into Jammu Airport drone attack. Modi sees defeat of his plans in the ongoing political process in IIOJK and raising hue and cry about alleged drone attack is meant to derail the process. India is trying to build pressure on Pakistan by blaming it for drone strike after world recognized Islamabad’s peace overtures with Delhi. India is aiming at a cross-LOC misadventure by claiming that Pakistan is behind Jammu drone strike.”
International Media reported: “India and the United States on Tuesday 27 October 2020, signed a basic exchange and cooperation agreement for geospatial cooperation, a major defense pact for the exchange of classified geospatial intelligence between their armed forces.
The agreement was signed between the U.S. National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, which is part of the Defense Department, and the Indian Ministry of Defence during the third 2+2 dialogue between the defense and foreign ministers of the two counties. India and the U.S. negotiated the terms of the agreement for more than a decade, according to an MoD official.
“BECA will permit the U.S. armed forces to provide advanced navigational aids and avionics and share geospatial intelligence to India that will help boost the accuracy of the Indian military’s automated hardware systems and weapons such as drones, cruise missiles and ballistic missiles,” the official explained. The third round of the bilateral 2+2 meeting was held in India on Oct. 27 against the backdrop of a tense border standoff with China in eastern Ladakh.”
Those who believes in India that War with China and Pakistan is in interest of India must see the following quote from a US National Security Advisor:
Zbigniev Brzezinski once boasted (“How the US provoked the Soviet Union into invading Afghanistan and starting the whole mess”, Le Nouvel Observateur (France), Jan 15 – 21, 1998, how he succeeded to trap the Soviets in the war by starting insurgency against the socialist government long time before the Soviet troops came over to help the government”.
US and its ally Israel reportedly proposed India to test fire its ‘spice missile’ on a Russian fighter jet and drop few bombs in Pakistan on 26 February 2019. Both US and Israel knew full well that Pakistani response will be robust and deep due to the Pakistan Air Force air superiority and Indian asset Nawaz Sharif is no more in power and Prime Minister Imran Khan like beating India on its soil. That is exactly what happened on 27 February 2019 at 9 am in broad day light, Pakistani air force successfully strike at the Indian targets, shoot down two Indian air force jets and arrested one of the pilots Wing Commander Abhinandan. The Indians, however, shoot down its own rescue helicopter mistaken as PAF jet.
US, Israel and France knew full well Indian military capability and risk assessed its fighting equipment long before. That was the reason within no time The New York Times wrote: “And 68% percent of the (Indian) army’s equipment is so old, it is officially considered “vintage.”
The New York Times wrote:
“It was an inauspicious moment for a military the United States is banking on to help keep an expanding China in check. An Indian Air Force pilot found himself in a dogfight last week with a warplane from the Pakistani Air Force, and ended up a prisoner behind enemy lines for a brief time.
The pilot (wing commander Abhinandan) made it home in one piece, however bruised and shaken, but the plane, an aging Soviet-era MiG-21, was less lucky.
The aerial clash, the first by the South Asian rivals in nearly five decades, was a rare test for the Indian military — and it left observers a bit dumbfounded. While the challenges faced by the India’s armed forces are no secret, its loss of a plane last week to a country whose military is about half the size and receives a quarter of the funding was still telling.
The New York Times further wrote, “India’s armed forces are in alarming shape.
If intense warfare broke out tomorrow, India could supply its troops with only 10 days of ammunition, according to government estimates. And 68% percent of the army’s equipment is so old, it is officially considered “vintage.”
“Our troops lack modern equipment, but they have to conduct 21st-century military operations,” said Gaurav Gogoi, a lawmaker and member of the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Defense.
American officials tasked with strengthening the alliance talk about their mission with frustration: a swollen bureaucracy makes arms sales and joint training exercises cumbersome; Indian forces are vastly underfunded; and the country’s navy, army and air force tend to compete rather than work together.
Whatever the problems, the United States is determined to make the country a key ally in the coming years to hedge against China’s growing regional ambition.”
While keeping in view the Chinese troops deployment and preparation in Ladakh and rest of the Indian-China border ‘it will be impossible for the Indian army to resist and fight with its 68% vintage army and obsolete weapons’.
On the issue of India’s hostile relations with all its neighbours I asked H.E Renandra Sen High Commissioner of India to United Kingdom few years ago in a fully packed London School of Economics hall after his lecture on ‘India as emerging power’.
“Your excellency, which country Indian has best relationship, three wars with Pakistan, border dispute with Bangladesh, hostile towards Bhutan and Nepal one war and border dispute with China which country India has best relationship apart from Mauritius?
He replied: “it is not a fair question”.
I reassured him later that it was not meant to undermine his lecture. The current trip of the Indian PM to China is significant and reflection of China’s policy of having good relations with its neighbours. One senior Chinese journalist told me few days ago that ‘Pakistan and China are all weathers friends and engagement of people is necessary’.
Now it is proven to be true as Indian isolated with all its neighbours but decided to start an extra marital affair with USA 10,000 km away. How intelligent it is time will prove.
Few Years ago the statement by Indian General Bipin Rawat (Now he is CDS) about the corruption suggest that there is a great realisation in the Indian military and security establishment that: ‘corrupt politicians are using race, religion and ethnicity to rule the country with ‘divide and rule’ principles’. The whole Hindutva principle is based on racist mentality of ‘Brahmin – Aryan’ superiority. There is no cohesion among soldiers and officers who even cannot sit together and eat or drink’.https://thelondonpost.net/bad-times-modi-indian-air-force-supreme-court-ruled-open-hearing-36-rafale-jets-deal/embed/#?secret=EW55vmSN8T
Bofors Guns Corruption
All the arms contracts are full of corruption from Bofors Guns by Rajiv Gandhi to French Rafael fighter Jets by Prime Minister Modi.
The India Today reported, “Bofors: Perhaps the scam most widely remembered in popular memory. Thanks to it Rajiv Gandhi lost the 1989 general elections. The scam was to do with a $1.4-billion howitzer deal between Swedish arms manufacturer Bofors and the Indian government signed in 1986. It was alleged that the Swedish company paid nearly $9 million to politicians, Congress leaders and bureaucrats. The case is still alive in the Supreme Court.”
I sincerely believe that: ‘some sane people in India have this view that current escalations have everything to sell the arms to poverty stricken, naked and hungry Indians whose BMI (Body Measure Index) is close to a poverty stricken African due to lack of toilet facilities and water born diseases’.
Every morning over 350 million sit on both sides of railways tracks to ‘defecate’ themselves due to lack of toilet facilities. However, Prime Ministers Modi sent space craft to the moon or shooting a satellite in the space to further make mess in the sky.
A non-religious India ruled by both Muslims and Hindus was a superpower with 26% GDP and it took European Colonialists over 100 years to fully conquer. The same colonialist are coming back as wolves in the sheep clothing but no one in India is willing to see it. Current global tensions are no doubt between former colonials and their former victims be it China as former colony of Japan or India of Europeans from Britain, France and Portugal.
(Dr Shahid Qureshi is senior analyst with BBC and chief editor of The London Post. He writes on security, terrorism and foreign policy. He also appears as analyst on Al-Jazeera, Press TV, MBC, Kazak TV (Kazakhstan), LBC Radio London. He was also international election observer for Azerbaijan 2020, April 2018, Kazakhstan 2015, 2016, 2019 and Pakistan 2002. He has written a famous book “War on Terror and Siege of Pakistan” published in 2009. At Government College Lahore he wrote his MA thesis on ‘Political Thought of Imam Khomeini’ and visited Tehran University. He is PhD in ‘Political Psychology’ and studied Law at a British University. He also speaks at Cambridge University. He is a visiting Professor at Hebe University in China.)
Views expressed are not of The London Post