By Dr Shahid Qureshi : – ]
According to reports only 5% insurgency in Afghanistan is linked with the Pakistani tribal areas (FATA) probably due to historical links, approximately 45000 people cross the border every day, many could be among the 2.5 million Afghan refugees living in Pakistan for the last 30 years.
Some people in the US are ‘blaming Pakistan’ for everything that goes wrong in Afghanistan and ‘Jews for financial crisis’. Few people with AK47 and 4×4 in mountains are a distraction and too small in front of a super power with thermal imaging cameras, night vision equipment and satellites? So what are the real plans in Afghanistan ‘encircling China’? ‘It looks like bull might be slaughtered before entering into China shop’, said an analyst.
“Britain’s most senior military commander in Afghanistan has warned that the war against the Taliban cannot be won. Brigadier Mark Carleton-Smith said the British public should not expect a “decisive military victory” but should be prepared for a possible deal with the Taliban. His assessment followed the leaking of a memo from a French diplomat who claimed that Sir Sherard Cowper-Coles, the British ambassador in Kabul, had told him the current strategy was “doomed to fail” reported The Sunday Times on 5th October 2008.
Pakistan has deployed more than 100,000+ troops and 1000 posts, ironically occupied Afghanistan only have around 100 posts and Hamid Karzai who told BBC, ‘no body ask me anything before doing operations’, after large number of civilians killed by the allies. ‘President Zardari should come out of denial and criminal negligence when he says, ‘India has never been a threat to Pakistan’. Identification of friends and foe is very important.
So where this war is heading and how long the economies of the international forces could afford this misadventure? Who is paying for it? US is firing missiles’ in Pakistan from its drones killing mostly innocent civilians which is creating more anti US sentiments. Is it the arrogance that US is not listening to the people on the ground or too much relying on the collaborators?
‘When people like you come to the Western capitals they say things what people want to hear and not what they should know. You have not mentioned anything about 2.5 million Afghan refugees living in Pakistan for 30 years’, I told Ahmed Rashid in July 2008 at International Institute of Strategic Studies, London. There is a possibility when these Afghan hardcore fighters see their villages’ bombed and relatives killed, ‘join the resistance in revenge’?
I asked President Hamid Karzai about the ‘return of the refugees’ at a press conference with Prime Minister Gordon Brown in London, he said, ‘I am thankful to my Pakistani brothers’. Well international community should work towards the return of these ‘refugees’ who could be heavens for resistance? Installing of democratic puppets in Pakistan and Afghanistan will not help at all? Karzai, Zardari, and Gilani could be scare crows in a paddy field but not worthy in a battle field.
A hungry man is an angry man irrelevant of their colour or nationality. It would be hard to convince the public about the ‘legitimacy’ of the so called ‘war on terror’ keeping in view the current economic, financial crisis coming recession. One can not fight wars on credit or with other people’s money? The worst thing of this financial crisis is going to break the family homes leading to social, mental, law and order problems?
According to a TV report the largest numbers of homeless at one point were, ‘Vietnam war veterans’. The numbers of injured US soldiers in Iraq and Afghanistan is in thousands and costing $millions not to mention sufferings from mental disorders. This financial crisis is clearly affecting the fibber of the society and family? On the $700bn bail out plan a US law maker said, ‘we are going to hand over $700 billions to the same people who made this mess in the first place’. If that fails there is no plan ‘B’?
“(Jews have) infiltrated Wall Street and Government and have ruined our country.”, “What is a GS Jew? Goldman Sachs? Jews are greedy, rotten slime balls.” They (Jews) love money nothing else, no faith or religion can be so heartless to their victims.” , That’s how they work they short the stock all the way making billions and then cover right it up sell and then taxpayers to the rescue and it is true all those institutions are ran by Jews ….” A YouTube video “We the People” asserted “We have a bunch of foreign citizens (Israeli’s) [sic] that have infiltrated what was once ‘our’ government at the highest levels…. The ‘U.S. Government’ is ripping us off for trillions of dollars and giving it to their fellow Jews”, on 2nd October 2008, Jewish watchdog, The Anti-Defamation League (ADL) reported on its website, ‘dramatic upsurge in the number of anti-Semitic statements being posted to Internet discussion boards devoted to finance and the economy’
Department of the Treasury/Federal Reserve Board’s published on September 16, 2008, that until July 2008, China Mainland $ 518.7 billions, Hong Kong $60.6 billions, Japan $593.4 billions, United Kingdom $290.8 billions, Oil Exporters $173.9, Russia $74.1 billions, Carib Bnkng Ctrs $133.6 billions and Germany, Taiwan, Switzerland, Norway, Mexico, Korea, Turkey, Egypt, Thailand, Singapore, Canada, Poland, Chile, India, Luxembourg, Sweden Belgium, Ireland are major holders of US Treasury Securities totaling $ 2676.4 billions.
According to Richard Hall the US National Debt has continued to increase an average of $2.16 billion per day since September 28, 2007! He explains the difference between the debt and the deficit: The National Debt is the total amount of money owed by the government; the federal budget deficit is the yearly amount by which spending exceeds revenue. Add up all the deficits (and subtract those few budget surpluses we’ve had) for the past 200+ years and you’ll get the current National Debt. The National Debt on January 1st, 1791 was just $75 million dollars. Today, it rises by that amount every hour or so.”
Dr. John Yeutter, associate professor of accounting and Certified Financial Planner, explained the situation in layman’s terms, “The U.S. Federal Government collected $2,568 billion in fiscal year 2007, while spending $2,730 billion, generating a total deficit of $162 billion. This proposal asks for more than 25 percent of last year’s collections. This is more than the government spent on defence ($549 billion), Social Security ($581 billion), or Medicare and Medicaid ($561 billion) last year. So we’re talking about ‘real money’ here. What some may find even more disconcerting is there is no “Plan B,” should this plan fail”, reported TAHLEQUAH DAILY PRESS.
“There are reports which suggest that before the end Bush presidency on January 20th, 2009, US national debt would be $11.3 trillion more than $37,000 every one. “President Bush called China’s President Hu Jintao, to discuss financial issues”. China holds more than $502 billion in U.S. treasuries. ‘China’s holdings look more like $1 trillion to $1.3 trillion, estimates Brad Setser of the Council on Foreign Relations. “That’s enormous – close to 10 percent of our GDP,” Mr. Setser said. “So China is understandably interested”.
China’s Xinhua news agency paraphrased Mr. Hu’s views on the conversation this way: “We have noticed that the United States has taken some important measures to stabilize the domestic financial market, and we hope these measures can achieve quick results so that economic and financial conditions in the United States will gradually improve and turn better.” reported Dallas News On September 23, 2008.
In case Congress increases the debt ceiling to $11.3 trillion that will bring the US national debt to 79 percent of the $14.3 trillion economy. More than 25 percent of the national debt is owed to China and other international lenders.
According to a senior analyst, ‘there is a food for thought for the Iranians, Russians, Indians, and Chinese. It always wise to put the fire out in ones neighbourhood because if you don’t it will come to your door sooner or later? It is time for the US and allies to review their Afghan policy and draw up an exit strategy because sophisticated bombs and missiles can kill people but not win them.
Since American are good at ‘war profiteering’, Japanese have paid the US, price of every bomb dropped in the after WWII, and Chinese have paid in advance $1.3 trillions?
(Dr Shahid Qureshi is senior award wining investigative journalist and writer on security, foreign policy, and terrorism based in London)